The Art of Uncertainty. How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck

okładka

The Art of Uncertainty. How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck

Produkt jest aktualnie niedostępny

Kliknij tutaj, jeśli chcesz otrzymać maila, gdy produkt się ukaże.

OPIS

We live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?
David Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.
In engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.
Drawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know

DODATKOWE INFORMACJE

  • Format:140x20 mm
  • Liczba stron:489
  • Oprawa:twarda z obwolutą
  • ISBN-13:9780241658628
  • Data wydania:23 październik 2024
  • Numer katalogowy:626036

RECENZJEjak działają recenzje?

Lista recenzji jest pusta

DOSTAWA

DARMOWA dostawa powyżej 299 zł!

Realizacja dostaw poprzez:

  • ups
  • paczkomaty
  • ruch
  • poczta

OPINIE

Nasza strona używa plików cookies, w celu ułatwienia Ci zakupów. Więcej informacji znajdziesz w polityce prywatności

© 2006-2024 Gildia Internet Services Sp. z o.o. and 2017-2024 Prószyński Media Sp z o.o. PgSearcher